🇿🇦 South Africa's Sources of CH₄ Emissions

South Africa's Sources of CH4 Emissions

Key Insights

2024 CH4 Emissions Profile

South Africa's methane emissions totalled around 75.6 megatonnes CO2e in 2024. Fugitive emissions were largest, at around 34.6 megatonnes CO2e (45.8%), followed by waste at 21.2 (28.0%) and livestock at 15.3 (20.3%). Over the ten years to 2024, fugitive, livestock, fuel and other emissions fell, while waste and crop emissions rose. Methane emissions were concentrated in fugitive sources, waste and livestock.

Historic Livestock Emissions

Livestock emissions rose from around 0.2 megatonnes CO2e in 1851 to roughly 18 by the early 1960s. They then fell briefly and remained broadly stable around 16-19 for several decades, peaking at roughly 18.7 in 1979. Emissions declined after 2012, reaching around 15.3 megatonnes CO2e in 2024.

Historic Fugitive Emissions

Fugitive emissions began near zero in 1851, becoming substantial after the early twentieth century. They rose rapidly from around 3.1 megatonnes CO2e in 1939 to roughly 36.5 by the mid-1990s, then varied at a high level and peaked at around 43.0 in 2014. They fell to around 34.6 megatonnes CO2e in 2024.

Historic Waste Emissions

Waste emissions rose consistently from around 0.05 megatonnes CO2e in 1851. Growth accelerated after the mid-twentieth century, increasing from roughly 4.2 in 1965 to around 21.2 in 2024. The 2024 level was the highest in the record.

Historic Crop Emissions

Crop emissions were near zero through the early twentieth century, then rose to around 1.2 megatonnes CO2e by 1960. They subsequently varied at relatively low levels, falling to roughly 0.8 in 2016 before peaking at around 2.3 in 2021. Emissions ended at around 2.0 megatonnes CO2e in 2024.

Historic Fuel Emissions

Fuel emissions rose from around 0.3 megatonnes CO2e in 1851 to roughly 2.4 by the late 1950s, then changed little for several decades. They increased again after the early 1980s and peaked at around 3.9 in 2008. Emissions then declined to around 2.5 megatonnes CO2e in 2024.

Historic Other Emissions

Other emissions were negligible in the nineteenth century and rose gradually to a peak of around 0.3 megatonnes CO2e in 1969. They declined sharply by the mid-1980s, then fluctuated at low levels. Emissions reached around 0.1 megatonnes CO2e in 2024.

Background

The chart shows a national breakdown by source of the yearly methane (CH4) emissions from human activities expressed as weight in megatonnes (Mt). In the scientific literature, these are referred to as anthropogenic emissions. Human-induced methane emissions increase atmospheric methane, which is warming the Earth. The sources of human methane emissions are

  • Livestock
  • Fugitive emissions from the fossil fuel industry
  • Crop production
  • Fossil fuel combustion
  • Waste management
  • Other processes

Methane's Global Warming Potential

Methane has a much higher Global Warming Potential (GWP) than CO2. However, Methane emissions in the atmosphere decay with an average lifetime of about 12 years so its long term warming-effect is much less compared to CO2 which stays on average for hundreds of years in the atmosphere. Meaning: Methane's short term warming effect is much higher, but long term warming effect is much lower. A reduction in emissions can cause a rapid decline in its atmospheric levels.

Livestock

Livestock emits methane that is produced in the animals' digestive system. Most methane is emitted from the mouth during rumination. A much smaller amount of methane is emitted from the manure. Depending on how the manure is managed, i.e., wet or dry, more methane is emitted. Wet management leads to higher methane emissions than dry management. However, dry management also emits nitrous oxide (N2O), which is another potent greenhouse gas.

Fugitive emissions from fossil fuel industry

Fugitive methane emissions are from the intentional and accidental release of methane, which happens during the extraction, storage, and transportation processes in the fossil fuel industry. Examples are methane leaks during oil and gas handling, storage, transport, incomplete combustion, and many more. Also, methane is deliberately ventilated from mines during the extraction of coal.


Methane is a primary part of “gas”, also called “natural gas” or “fossil gas”. Natural gas is used, for example, for heating and electricity generation, whereby it emits CO2 during the combustion process. However, when natural gas leaks (unburned) it contains a lot of fugitive methane emissions.

Waste

Waste from landfills and wastewater produces a lot of methane when biodegradable material breaks down without oxygen.

Crop production

Crop production emissions are largely from rice cultivation, which generates large amounts of methane during plant growth. These emissions are from flooded paddies, which create the swamp-like environment of rice fields. There are agricultural techniques to reduce emissions significantly, like periodic drainage and aeration. Rice is the main staple for about half the world's population, and its emissions are a significant part of total human methane emissions.

Fuel combustion

Fuel combustion emissions are mostly from the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels. As mentioned before, natural gas consists largely of methane, and when the combustion does not happen completely, methane enters the atmosphere.

Other

Other human-induced methane emissions include industrial processes and product uses.

Wikipedia: Anthropogenic Sources of Atmospheric Methane
IPCC: AR6, 5.2.2.2 Anthropogenic CH4 emissions

Units and Measures

CH4 emissions are expressed in the total weight in megatonnes per year. 1 Megatonne is equal to 1 million tonnes.

Wikipedia: Megatonne
Wikipedia: Global warming potential

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About the Data

National methane emissions data through 2024 is from the PRIMAP-hist dataset, which combines several published sources into a historical emissions time series.

The Key Insights paragraph was created using a large language model (LLM) in combination with our data, historic events, and a structured approach for best accuracy by separating the context generation from the interpretation and narrative.

Data Sources

PRIMAP-hist The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2024)
Update cycle: Every few monthsDelay: Less than 1 yearCredits: Gütschow, J.; Busch, D.; Pflüger, M. (2025): The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series v2.7 (1750-2024). zenodo. doi:10.5281/zenodo.17090760

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