🇰🇭 Cambodia's Historic Contribution to Global Warming Since 1850

Cambodia's Historic Contribution to Global Warming Since 1850

Key Insights

Overall Historic Impact

Cambodia's historic warming impact is roughly 6,900 megatonnes of CO2‑equivalent, around 0.2% of the global total. On a population‑weighted basis since the 19th century, this equates to about 7 tonnes per capita per year-rated high on the scale. The global share is small, but the per person contribution over time is notable.

Land Use Dominates

Changes in land use account for about two‑thirds of Cambodia's historic impact. Emissions rose through the early to mid‑20th century, peaking in the late 1950s at roughly 90 megatonnes, then falling sharply before varying for decades. From the late 1960s onward the trajectory edged upward, with some years climbing above 100 megatonnes. This long land‑use imprint is the defining feature of Cambodia's historic profile.

Agricultural Methane Patterns

Methane contributes nearly a third, largely from crop production and livestock. Emissions grew steadily from the early 1900s to around 1970, dropped abruptly in the early 1970s, then resumed growth through the 1990s. Since the turn of the century they have remained in the high‑teens to mid‑20s megatonnes per year, and the warming impact from methane has stabilized compared with earlier surges.

Emerging Fossil And Fluorinated Gases

Fossil CO2 has historically been a small share, but since the mid‑2000s it rose from just a few megatonnes to the low‑20s by the early 2020s, with growth slowing recently. Nitrous oxide increased gradually and has hovered around 4-5 megatonnes per year in recent years. Fluorinated gases remain tiny but have trended upward since the mid‑2010s.

Actionable Priorities

With a high historic per capita impact, Cambodia can show leadership by focusing on its largest sources: land use and agricultural methane. Priorities include protecting and restoring ecosystems to reduce land‑use CO2, and improving agricultural practices in crop production and livestock to cut methane. Progress here would curb future warming and support cleaner development pathways at home and across the region.

Background

Historic Per Capita Emissions

Historic per capita emissions are a crucial long-period (since 1850), population-weighted (accounting for changing population size) indicator. It shows the contribution of greenhouse gas emissions of a nation per capita per year to the current warming.


The rating scale is:

  • Extremely High: above 10 tonnes per capita per year
  • Very High: above 7.5 tonnes
  • High: above 5 tonnes
  • Moderate: above 2.5 tonnes
  • Low: above 0 tonnes
  • Negative Emissions: under 0

Historically, we don't expect any nation to reach negative emissions. Current warming, or warming targets, like 1.5 °C and 1.7 °C are all based on the fact that there have been human-induced greenhouse gas emissions and there will be some more. It is clear, however, that some nations have had incredibly high historic contributions per capita.

Total Historic Impact

This is the total amount of CO2, CH4, N2O, and F-Gases emissions of a nation from 1850 till 2023 (last available year in the data) expressed in megatonnes of CO2-equivalents. The gases have different atmospheric lifetimes (decay) and warming effects, for this reason we use the GWP100 (100 year time horizon method) to calculate the global warming potential of N2O and F-Gases to express in CO2-equivalents. For CH4, which is a short-term gas, we use the GWP* method to express the historic impact in CO2-equivalents.

Wikipedia: Global Warming Potential

Total Historic Share

This is a nation's total historic share of global emissions and its contribution to global warming. It is an indicator of historic responsibility. All nations share the responsibility to ensure that developing nations do not copy and repeat the behavior of nations with high historic greenhouse gas emissions, they should not buy into old unsustainable fossil-fuels-based technology, land-use, and infrastructure, rather foster a sustainable and cleaner development.

About the Data

The last available year in all the emission datasets is 2023. CO2 emissions data is from the Global Carbon Project. It contains national CO2 emissions from fossil sources and land-use change. Emissions from CH4, N2O and F-gases come from the PRIMAP-Hist dataset. It is a rich dataset that combines several published sources to create a historical emissions time series for various greenhouse gases. Population data are also from Global Carbon Project where available, however, for many nations it doesn't have historic population going back to 1850. Those historic gaps are filled with population data from Our World in Data.

The Key Insights paragraph was created using a large language model (LLM) in combination with our data, historic events, and a structured approach for best accuracy by separating the context generation from the interpretation and narrative.

Data Sources

Global Carbon Budget 2024 Global Carbon Budget
Update cycle: yearlyDelay: ~ 10 months after the end of the year. Current year values are estimated and published in November.Credits: Friedlingstein et al., 2024, ESSD. Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Li, H., Luijkx, I. T., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Arneth, A., Arora, V., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Berghoff, C. F., Bittig, H. C., Bopp, L., Cadule, P., Campbell, K., Chamberlain, M. A., Chandra, N., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Colligan, T., Decayeux, J., Djeutchouang, L., Dou, X., Duran Rojas, C., Enyo, K., Evans, W., Fay, A., Feely, R. A., Ford, D. J., Foster, A., Gasser, T., Gehlen, M., Gkritzalis, T., Grassi, G., Gregor, L., Gruber, N., Gürses, Ö., Harris, I., Hefner, M., Heinke, J., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Jacobson, A. R., Jain, A., Jarníková, T., Jersild, A., Jiang, F., Jin, Z., Kato, E., Keeling, R. F., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Lauvset, S. K., Lefèvre, N., Liu, Z., Liu, J., Ma, L., Maksyutov, S., Marland, G., Mayot, N., McGuire, P., Metzl, N., Monacci, N. M., Morgan, E. J., Nakaoka, S.-I., Neill, C., Niwa, Y., Nützel, T., Olivier, L., Ono, T., Palmer, P. I., Pierrot, D., Qin, Z., Resplandy, L., Roobaert, A., Rosan, T. M., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Smallman, T. L., Smith, S., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Steinhoff, T., Sun, Q., Sutton, A. J., Séférian, R., Takao, S., Tatebe, H., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Torres, O., Tourigny, E., Tsujino, H., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G., Wanninkhof, R., Wang, X., Yang, D., Yang, X., Yu, Z., Yuan, W., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., and Zeng, J.: Global Carbon Budget 2024, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-519, in review, 2024.

PRIMAP-hist The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2023)
Update cycle: Every few monthsDelay: Less than 1 yearCredits: Gütschow, Johannes; Busch, Daniel; Pflüger, Mika (2024): The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2023) v2.6. Zenodo.

Our World in Data Population - Our World in Data
Update cycle: YearlyDelay: 7 monthsCredits: HYDE (2023); Gapminder (2022); UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data

Cambodia's Historic Contribution to Global Warming Since 1850