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🇬🇷 Greece's Progress and Recent Impact

Greece's Progress and Recent Impact

✨ Key Insights

High Per Capita Emissions

Greece's recent per capita greenhouse gas emissions stand at 6.64 tonnes per person per year, placing it in the "high" category. This level of emissions is significantly above the ideal target of zero, indicating room for improvement in reducing individual carbon footprints. The high per capita emissions are largely driven by fossil fuel consumption, particularly oil, which accounts for a substantial portion of the country's energy mix. Despite efforts to diversify energy sources, fossil fuels remain a dominant contributor to Greece's emissions profile.

Declining Total Emissions

In 2023, Greece's total greenhouse gas emissions were 68.71 megatonnes of CO2-equivalents, representing 0.1246% of global emissions. While this share may seem small, it is crucial to recognize the collective impact of smaller emitters on global emissions. Notably, Greece has achieved a commendable reduction in its emissions over the past decade, with a yearly decline of 3.81%. This trend is largely attributed to the economic crisis that began in 2009, which led to decreased industrial activity and energy consumption, as well as the expansion of renewable energy sources starting in 2015.

Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy

The primary driver of Greece's emissions is fossil fuel consumption, with oil being the most significant contributor. However, the introduction of natural gas in the 1990s and the subsequent expansion of renewable energy sources have played a role in reducing emissions. The shift towards cleaner energy sources, such as wind and solar power, has helped displace some fossil fuel-based electricity generation, contributing to the overall decline in emissions. This transition aligns with Greece's commitment to EU climate targets and the global push for sustainable energy solutions.

Methane and Nitrous Oxide Contributions

Methane and nitrous oxide also contribute to Greece's emissions, albeit to a lesser extent than CO2. Methane emissions primarily arise from agriculture, particularly livestock and waste management, while nitrous oxide emissions are linked to agricultural practices, including fertilizer use. The introduction of industrial fertilizers in the 1950s and changes in agricultural policy following Greece's EU membership in 1981 have historically influenced these emissions. Despite these challenges, Greece has made progress in reducing methane and nitrous oxide emissions, reflecting efforts to improve agricultural practices and waste management.

Background

Recent per Capita Emissions

The Recent per Capita Emissions are a crucial indicator of a nation's greenhouse gas emissions. They are a fair measure for comparing the emissions of nations, taking into account the size of their populations.

Because any greenhouse gas emissions above 0 cause warming, the per capita emissions shouldn't be judged against the global average; they should be compared based on how far they are above 0. Therefore, our rating scale is:

  • Extremely High: above 10 tonnes per capita per year
  • Very High: above 7.5 tonnes
  • High: above 5 tonnes
  • Moderate: above 2.5 tonnes
  • Low: above 0 tonnes
  • Negative Emissions: under 0

The per capita emissions should be close to zero for each country, indicated here by the green & low areas.

Last Year Emissions

This is the total amount of CO2, CH4, N2O, and F-Gases emissions of a nation in 2023 (last available year in the data) expressed in megatonnes of CO2-equivalents. The gases have different atmospheric lifetimes (decay) and warming effects, for this reason, we use the GWP100 (100 year time horizon method) to calculate the global warming potential of CH4, N2O, and F-Gases to express them in CO2-equivalents.

Wikipedia: Global Warming Potential

Last Year Share

This is a nation's share of the global emissions in 2023 (last available year in the data). For many countries this value can be quite small, especially when compared to nations like United States or China. It is easy and dangerous to jump to the conclusion that small shares of emissions don't matter. They matter as a group. Even small emitters can account for a significant amount of total emissions. Consider the following examples:

  • 24 nations, each between 0.5 and 1.5% of the total emissions, make up 20% of the total emissions.
  • 27 nations, each between 0.5 and 2% of the total emissions, make up 25% of the total emissions.
  • 162 nations with a share below 0.5% make up 15% of the total.
  • 3 nations, make 44% of the total emissions: China, United States and India. However, China and India together have a population of about 2.9 billion.

Per Capita Emissions are therefore the most crucial indicator to represent the impact of a nation regardless of its size.

Yearly Emissions Trend

This is a nation's trend per year over the last 10 years. It is a good indicator of the trajectory of national emissions and can be used as a simple framework to judge a nation's trend vs. international goals:

  • Stop warming around 1.5 °C: All nations together, and each nation, should drop emissions by 17% per year — 8,000 Megatonnes of CO2 Equivalent per Year.
  • To achieve Net Zero in 2050 and to stop warming at ~1.7 °C: All nations should together, and each nation, should drop emissions by 4% per year — 2,100 Megatonnes of CO2 Equivalent per Year.
  • Additionally, to return warming to pre-industrial levels almost all human-induced CO2 has to be taken out of the atmosphere.

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About the Data

The last available year in all the emission datasets is 2023. CO2 emissions data is from the Global Carbon Project. It contains national CO2 emissions from fossil sources and land-use change. Emissions from CH4, N2O and F-gases come from the PRIMAP-Hist dataset. It is a rich dataset that combines several published sources to create a historical emissions time series for various greenhouse gases. Population data are also from Global Carbon Project where available, however, for many nations it doesn't have historic population going back to 1850. Those historic gaps are filled with population data from Our World in Data.

The Key Insights paragraph was generated using a large language model (LLM) using a structured approach to improve the accuracy. This included separating the context generation from the interpretation and narrative.

Data Sources

Global Carbon Budget 2024 Global Carbon Budget
Update cycle: yearlyDelay: ~ 10 months after the end of the year. Current year values are estimated and published in November.Credits: Friedlingstein et al., 2024, ESSD. Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Li, H., Luijkx, I. T., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Arneth, A., Arora, V., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Berghoff, C. F., Bittig, H. C., Bopp, L., Cadule, P., Campbell, K., Chamberlain, M. A., Chandra, N., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Colligan, T., Decayeux, J., Djeutchouang, L., Dou, X., Duran Rojas, C., Enyo, K., Evans, W., Fay, A., Feely, R. A., Ford, D. J., Foster, A., Gasser, T., Gehlen, M., Gkritzalis, T., Grassi, G., Gregor, L., Gruber, N., Gürses, Ö., Harris, I., Hefner, M., Heinke, J., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Jacobson, A. R., Jain, A., Jarníková, T., Jersild, A., Jiang, F., Jin, Z., Kato, E., Keeling, R. F., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Lauvset, S. K., Lefèvre, N., Liu, Z., Liu, J., Ma, L., Maksyutov, S., Marland, G., Mayot, N., McGuire, P., Metzl, N., Monacci, N. M., Morgan, E. J., Nakaoka, S.-I., Neill, C., Niwa, Y., Nützel, T., Olivier, L., Ono, T., Palmer, P. I., Pierrot, D., Qin, Z., Resplandy, L., Roobaert, A., Rosan, T. M., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Smallman, T. L., Smith, S., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Steinhoff, T., Sun, Q., Sutton, A. J., Séférian, R., Takao, S., Tatebe, H., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Torres, O., Tourigny, E., Tsujino, H., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G., Wanninkhof, R., Wang, X., Yang, D., Yang, X., Yu, Z., Yuan, W., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, N., and Zeng, J.: Global Carbon Budget 2024, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-519, in review, 2024.

PRIMAP-hist The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2023)
Update cycle: Every few monthsDelay: Less than 1 yearCredits: Gütschow, Johannes; Busch, Daniel; Pflüger, Mika (2024): The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2023) v2.6. Zenodo.

Our World in Data Population - Our World in Data
Update cycle: YearlyDelay: 7 monthsCredits: HYDE (2023); Gapminder (2022); UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data